Nathan Beighle
June 17, 2024 8:37 am ET
The Atlanta Braves (38-31) welcome the Detroit Tigers (34-37) to Truit Park Monday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’slines around the Tigers vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Braves won 2 of 3 in 2023
The Braves lost to the Tampa Bay Rays 8-6 Sunday to close their 3-game series. They were riding a 3-game win streak prior to the loss, but have struggled over the last 10 games, going 3-7 straight up. Atlanta is a strong 21-13 at home and is 33-36 against the spread (ATS).
The Tigers lost 4-1 to the Houston Astros Sunday, closing as a +150 underdog. They lost 2 of 3 in Houston, but did have a blowout 13-5 win Saturday. Detroit is 3-7 over its last 10 games and is 32-39 ATS. The Tigers have faired better on the road this season, going 18-18 in away games.
Tigers at Braves projected starters
RHP Reese Olson vs. LHP Max Fried
Olson (1-8, 3.68 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 71 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-5 home loss to the Washington Nationals Wednesday
- 2024 road splits: 0-4, 3.97 ERA (34 IP, 15 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3 HR, 6.9 K/9 in 7 starts
- Career vs. Braves: 0-1, 16.20 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 2.10 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 1 start
Fried (6-3, 3.20 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 78 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 4-0 road loss to the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
- 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.51 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 1 HR, 6.7 K/9 in 4 starts
- Career vs. Braves: 7-3, 3.14 ERA (86 IP, 30 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 14 starts and 3 relief appearances
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks.Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Tigers at Braves odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +168 (bet $100 to win $168) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-111) | Braves -1.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Tigers at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Tigers 4
Moneyline
PASS.
The Braves are just too expensive here. With Fried on the mound they have been a good bet, winning 3 of his last 4 starts. However, at -200, they aren’t worth any consideration.
Run line/Against the spread
BET TIGERS +1.5 (-111).
Neither pitcher has put together any strong streak as of late with Fried 4-4 ATS in his last 8 starts. That said, the Tigers have been the better team in this location, posting a 19-17 ATS record in road games while Atlanta is 16-18 ATS at home. The Braves are 4-4 ATS in their last 8 at home.
Atlanta has also lost 7 of its last 10, so as a favorite, it might be a riskier play given it has struggled over the last 10 days. Take the underdog here as neither side has played its best baseball as of late.
Bet TIGERS +1.5 (-111).
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-115).
The Braves have gone Over in 3 straight games, scoring at least 6 runs in 4 in a row. They are 5-2-1 O/U in their last 8.
The Tigers are 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games and have gone north of the projected total in 3 straight Olson starts, allowing at least 6 in each of those. They are 40-28-3 O/U on the season.
Considering those recent trends, back OVER 8 (-115).
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